[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?
Health & MedicineOne-OffRegulation2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 84.2%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 6, 26, 11:02 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41172) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if the US Food and Drug Administration approves a psilocybin treatment during 2026.
