Will the FDA approve a disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease before 2029?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the FDA approve a disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease before 2029??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57.6% as of October 8, 2026.

When does Will the FDA approve a disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease before 2029? resolve?

Will the FDA approve a disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease before 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.

How is Will the FDA approve a disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease before 2029? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The question resolves as Yes as soon as the FDA approves a disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease.

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POLYMARKET

Plague pandemic in 2026?

• No+1.1pt97%
• Yes-1.1pt3%

Total Vol

$357.5K

24h Vol

$75.6K

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No94.1%
• Yes5.9%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$17.3K

POLYMARKET

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

• No+1.9pt94%
• Yes-1.9pt6%

Total Vol

$69.7K

24h Vol

$11.8K

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before January 1, 2027-2.0pt18%
• Before December 1, 2026-1.0pt14%
• Before November 1, 2026-4.0pt6%

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?

• 31,-5.5pt11%
• 15,-3.0pt6%

Total Vol

$69.7K

24h Vol

$6.4K

KALSHI

Next pandemic

• Before 2030-3.0pt18%
• Before 202916%
• Before 202813%

Total Vol

$10.8K

24h Vol

$5.5K

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