FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 81%
No 81%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityTraders
4
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market predicts whether the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will grant approval for a psilocybin-containing therapy for any clinical indication during calendar year 2026.
- If, in this period, the FDA grants marketing approval (including standard, accelerated, or priority review approval) to a drug product whose active pharmaceutical ingredient is psilocybin for any human clinical indication, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Source is the FDA Drug Approvals database and the FDA Orange Book.
- Breakthrough Therapy designation, Fast Track designation, end-of-Phase consultations, advisory committee recommendations, and Investigational New Drug authorizations do NOT count as approval.
- Approval requires a final FDA marketing authorization (NDA or BLA approval letter).
