Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Test that tells you why you're sick (COVID vs flu vs strep throat vs cold) 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Test that tells you why you're sick (COVID vs flu vs strep throat vs cold) 99%Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 5, 24, 5:11 PM UTCFeb 2, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will at least 3 of the 10 Technologies that Won't Exist in 5 Years, exist in 5 years?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Inspired by this post: 10 technologies that won't exist in 5 years (wayback machine) The post claims all of these would be achievable within 5 years but there will not be sufficient funding.
- Also, note the footnotes with some relevant details.
- Published "Feb 2, 2024" and "in 5 years" means this closes "Feb 2, 2029".
- Each answers resolves YES if the technology exists by the close date.
- If no success can be found, answers resolve NO after the close date.
- When in doubt, I would tend towards NO to be favorable to the author.