Current community forecast
Fusion 89.7%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
38
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 6, 24, 12:43 AM UTCJan 1, 25, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
The technologies can be explicitly sci-fi-inspired, but obviously don't have to be.
- Add your own! Unrelated or trivial answers will be N/A'd.
- All developed technologies resolve YES once they are in use (past the research phase) and technologies that don't exist resolve NO if/when we travel to the stars: aka when at least one person makes a transit attempt with a reasonable expectation of survival and success.
- AI-developed tech counts, if the AI was originally made by humans.
- Presumptive alien-tech and alien-AI-tech don't count.
- The close date is highly speculative and may be pushed back until interstellar travel happens or humans are gone.