Will any company successfully develop a therapeutic treatment that rejuvenates healthspan by at least 10 years by 2030?
Health & MedicineOne-OffScience4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 64.8%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 22, 24, 10:25 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market is an opportunity to speculate on the future of longevity science and the potential for revolutionary advancements in therapeutic treatments that extend the healthspan of individuals.
- The market is connected to the XPRIZE Healthspan competition.
- The outcome of the market will be considered 'true' if any company, whether part of the XPRIZE healthspan competition or not, successfully develops a therapeutic treatment that meets the following criteria by 2030:
- Muscle Function Restoration: The treatment must demonstrably restore muscle function, reversing the effects of aging and contributing to a more youthful physical state.
- Cognitive Function Improvement: The treatment should significantly enhance cognitive abilities, reflecting rejuvenation in mental capacities and brain health.
- Immune System Enhancement: A key aspect of the treatment should involve bolstering the immune system, reversing at least a decade worth of age-related decline.
