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Data as of Sep 10, 2026, 7:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 4.5% 0%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
90.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 1:00 AM UTCOct 17, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
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0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Ramp AI Index xAI model adoption rate for September 2026 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Ramp AI Index
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value publicly reported in the Ramp AI Index xAI model adoption rate for September 2026.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Ramp.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the Ramp AI Index xAI model adoption rate for September 2026 is above 4.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AI
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.5pt89%
- 2026+59.0pt82%
- September 30, 2026+56.0pt63%
- Total Vol
- $109K
- 24h Vol
- $69.2K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.1pt62%
- ChatGPT-1.9pt21%
- Gemini+1.3pt7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.7M
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.6K
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202710.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $37.6K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- Tencent market share this week
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for xAI corporate adoption rate in September?
- Kalshi prices Above 4.5% at 0% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does xAI corporate adoption rate in September resolve?
- xAI corporate adoption rate in September is scheduled to resolve on October 17, 2026.
- How is xAI corporate adoption rate in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Ramp AI Index xAI model adoption rate for September 2026 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.