KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 21.9% (97%)
Resolved: Sep 14, 2026, 2:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 21.9%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
99%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 10:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 22.6%2%
Above 21.9%95%
Above 23.6%1%
Above 23%3%
Above 20.8%Lost
Above 21.9%Won
Above 22.6%Lost
Above 24%Lost
Above 23%Lost
Above 23.6%Lost
Above 24.7%Lost
Above 23.3%Lost
Above 25.8%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If DeepSeek scores above 20.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Sep 8, 2026.
- If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark.
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- If DeepSeek scores above 21.9% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.