KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Trump (5+ times) 99%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$102.4K
Liquidity
$83.6K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 5:45 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 11:10 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If any host or reporter says the named outcome as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Open markets
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change-3.0pt49%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49%
- 25 bps decrease-0.2pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt94.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.2pt5%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt48.6%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt47.6%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65.7%
- No change+3.0pt31.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight??
- Kalshi prices Trump (5+ times) at 99% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? resolve?
- What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If any host or reporter says the named outcome as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.