KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Ukraine / Ukrainian (99%)
Resolved: Aug 26, 2026, 12:47 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Ukraine / Ukrainian
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 26, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Ukraine / Ukrainian 99%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$87.3K
Liquidity
$70.9K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 25, 26, 7:45 PMAug 26, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Barron50%
Ukraine / Ukrainian34%
Alex Pretti58%
Canada79%
Iran (3+ times)79%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline42%
Lake America / Ontario80%
Trump (5+ times)75%
Measles88%
Midterm41%
AI / Artificial Intelligence18%
Tupac13%
Bessent14%
Blockade35%
Peptides / GLP-11%
Spain13%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If any host or reporter says Trump (5+ times) as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
