KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 6:48 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
At least 48% · —
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Stored price
At least 54% 47.5%Market line of 8 lines
At least 54% 47.5%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$34.8
Open interest
$2.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 48%Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 19, 26, 12:00 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 48%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Clark County, Nevada: Aaron Ford vote percent
KalshiHidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiJohnson County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
KalshiWayne County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiFulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiMiami-Dade County, Florida: Byron Donalds vote percent
KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 48%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 62%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
