KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 58% · —
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Stored price
At least 64% 44%Market line of 10 lines
At least 64% 44%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.9K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 58%Spread
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Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 12:00 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 58%
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Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 58%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 62%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 64%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 66%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 68%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 72%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 74%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 76%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
