KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 48 (98%)
Resolved: Sep 15, 2026, 7:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 48
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Above 48 90.7%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$18.8K
Liquidity
$16.4K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleSep 15, 26, 3:15 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Above 6019%
Above 5828%
Above 5649%
Above 6212%
Above 5278%
Above 540%
Above 5084%
Above 4898%
90.7%
1.9%
1.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiRules
If the number of Senators voting Yea on the motion to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act before Jan 1, 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote).
- If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes.
- If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.