KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Thom Tillis 77%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.1K
Liquidity
$9.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 15, 26, 2:00 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWill the Senate invoke cloture on the Clarity Act this week?
PredictItWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
LimitlessWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketRules
If the named outcome votes for the motion to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed to H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act in the Senate before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Congress
- The qualifying vote is the first Senate vote to invoke cloture on the specified motion.
- This must be a vote in the relevant full chamber, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote.
- Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by the member to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other Congressional source.
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.0pt82.2%
- Yes-13.0pt17.8%
- Total Vol
- $17.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt54%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-24.0pt49%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-21.0pt48%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-1.5pt76%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- John Fetterman+12.5pt41%
- Jacky Rosen38%
- Kirsten Gillibrand+9.0pt36%
+12 more outcomes
KALSHIHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Above 50-12.0pt45%
- Above 55-21.0pt43%
- Above 60-11.0pt38%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture??
- Kalshi prices Thom Tillis at 77% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture? resolve?
- Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome votes for the motion to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed to H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act in the Senate before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.