KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 5.5% 52%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$155
Liquidity
$155
Low liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 7, 33, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2027
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2028
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.3% in June 2027?
ForecastExUS unemployment rate at year-end 2029
KalshiRules
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2032 is above
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released.
- It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31.
- The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2032.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US unemployment rate at year-end 2032?
- Kalshi prices Above 5.5% at 52% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does US unemployment rate at year-end 2032 resolve?
- US unemployment rate at year-end 2032 is scheduled to resolve on January 7, 2033.
- How is US unemployment rate at year-end 2032 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2032 is above
