KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
140-159 17.4%Leader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
140-159 17.4%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$29.5K
Open interest
$23.5K
Medium open interestSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 27, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?
PolymarketDonald Trump # Truth Social posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?
PolymarketDonald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?
PolymarketWill a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026?
KalshiCourts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by which date?
PolymarketHow many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/26-10/2)
KalshiRules
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Sep 27, 2026 to Oct 3, 2026 is below 80, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Roll Call
- How this is resolved
- The observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Sep 27, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026.
- The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call.
- In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion.
- The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 4, 2026.