KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 200 28%-7.0ptMarket line of 5 lines
Above 200 28%-7.0ptMarket quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.2K
Open interest
$14.6K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 4:34 PM UTCOct 6, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.