KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 6, 2026, 9:26 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Above 58.7% 55%Market line of 9 lines
Above 58.7% 55%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownSpread
25.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 58.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 11, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 10, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 54.0%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 54.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 58.7%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 58.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 63.3%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 63.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 45.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 45.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 51.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 51.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65.5%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 65.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 66.5%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 66.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 68.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 72.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 72.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
