KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 58.1% 50%Market line of 9 lines
Above 58.1% 50%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Open interest
$1.4K
Low open interestSpread
12.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 9, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 58.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 9, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 8, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 55.2%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 55.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 58.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 58.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 66.8%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 66.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 74.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 74.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 49.2%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 49.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 62.2%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 62.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68.7%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 68.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 69.7%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 69.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 71.3%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 71.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
