KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 14.1% 35%Market line of 9 lines
Above 14.1% 35%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$29.2K
Open interest
$18K
Medium open interestSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 7:00 PM UTCOct 12, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Z.ai scores above 14.1% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 5, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 8.4%
- If Z.ai scores above 8.4% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.9%
- If Z.ai scores above 8.9% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.2%
- If Z.ai scores above 7.2% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.4%
- If Z.ai scores above 6.4% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.0%
- If Z.ai scores above 8.0% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.6%
- If Z.ai scores above 7.6% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10.8%
- If Z.ai scores above 10.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 14.1%
- If Z.ai scores above 14.1% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.3%
- If Z.ai scores above 4.3% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.