KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 0.0% · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Above 4.0% 52%Market line of 13 lines
Above 4.0% 52%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$0.1
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 0.0%Spread
—
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 6, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 28, 31, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 0.0%
Loading selected book…
—
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The Underlying is the 2030 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2030,” or its equivalent successor publication. The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA. Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 0.0%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.0%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.5%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.5%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.0%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.5%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.0%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.5%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.0%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.5%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.0%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.5%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.0%
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
