KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
At least 1 · —
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Stored price
At least 2 56.5%Market line of 5 lines
At least 2 56.5%Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
— / —
At least 1Spread
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Market data
Updated 51 minutes ago
LaggingAug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 1
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the federal minimum wage increase before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?
KalshiWill the federal minimum wage be raised?
KalshiWill the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?
KalshiIf a Republican president is elected in the 2024 US election, will the federal minimum wage increase above $7.25/hr?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 2 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Conference of State LegislaturesU.S. Department of Labor, Wage and Hour Division
- A state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior law would have produced. Enactment requires the governor's signature, a veto override, or the measure becoming law without signature. A ballot measure qualifies on approval by voters at an election held during 2027. The effective date may fall in 2027 or later. A state also qualifies by accelerating or raising an already-scheduled step, by changing an indexing formula so that the rate comes out higher, or by setting a general minimum wage for the first time. Each state counts once however many measures it enacts, and stays counted if the measure is later repealed, superseded or enjoined. The following do NOT count: An automatic inflation or cost-of-living adjustment under existing law An increase enacted before 2027, whichever year it takes effect A measure that lowers, freezes, caps or preempts a minimum wage A measure raising only a sub-population rate, such as tipped, youth, agricultural or public contractor wages, without raising the general rate An executive order, agency rule, wage board order or court decision A city, county or other local ordinance A bill passed by one or both chambers but not enacted, and a measure placed on a 2028 or later ballot Washington, D.C. and the U.S. territories are NOT states. Neither the January 1, 2027 increases in states that index to inflation nor the already-enacted 2027 steps in Michigan, Alaska, Virginia and Rhode Island count.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 1
- If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 1 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 2 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 3 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4
- If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 4 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 5 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
