KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
At least 1 0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
19.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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0%
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0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?
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KalshiWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
PolymarketWill a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is the named outcome in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Conference of State LegislaturesU.S. Department of Labor, Wage and Hour Division
- A state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior law would have produced.
- Enactment requires the governor's signature, a veto override, or the measure becoming law without signature.
- A ballot measure qualifies on approval by voters at an election held during 2027.
- The effective date may fall in 2027 or later.
- A state also qualifies by accelerating or raising an already-scheduled step, by changing an indexing formula so that the rate comes out higher, or by setting a general minimum wage for the first time.
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8M
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $417K
- 24h Vol
- $41.6K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $637.5K
- 24h Vol
- $33.5K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $92.7K
- 24h Vol
- $8.9K
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 more outcomes
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027??
- Kalshi prices At least 1 at 0% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027? resolve?
- How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is the named outcome in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.