KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Meta · —
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Stored price
Meta 79.5%
Meta 79.5%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.7K
Open interest
$4.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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MetaSpread
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Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 8:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Meta
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
KalshiAnthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
KalshiOpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketRules
If Meta's top model has a higher Arena Score than OpenAI's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Each company's top model is its highest-ranked model in the Overall category of the leaderboard, with style control removed (Adjustments: None). A model belongs to the company the leaderboard lists as its organization. Preliminary models count. If the two top models show the same Arena Score, the one ranked higher on the leaderboard wins.
Rules for each outcome
- Meta
- If Meta's top model has a higher Arena Score than OpenAI's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- OpenAI
- If OpenAI's top model has a higher Arena Score than Meta's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.