Selected book midpoint
November 30 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
November 30 93%Leader of 6 outcomes
November 30 93%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.6K
Liquidity
$11.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
November 30Spread
—
Comments
2
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 4:53 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
October 9Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · November 30
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases "Gemini Argon" or a model qualifying under the terms below, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any model whose official name includes "Argon," or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.