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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

AITechYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
At least 50%
At least 50% 89%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$27.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

85.0% / 89.0%

Spread

4.7%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

May 20, 26, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

At least 50%89%

Rules

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.