KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 155000 · —
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Stored price
At least 195,000 80.5%Market line of 21 lines
At least 195,000 80.5%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.6K
Open interest
$7.4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 155000Spread
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Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 5:30 PM UTCOct 22, 26, 12:25 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 155000
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 22, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 10, 2026
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExUS crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026
KalshiWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026?
ForecastExUS SPR level for the week ending October 16, 2026
KalshiRules
If there are at least 195,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Department of Labor
Rules for each outcome
- At least 155000
- If there are at least 155000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 150000
- If there are at least 150000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 160000
- If there are at least 160000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 170000
- If there are at least 170000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 190,000
- If there are at least 190,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 140000
- If there are at least 140000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 145000
- If there are at least 145000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 165000
- If there are at least 165000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 175,000
- If there are at least 175,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 180,000
- If there are at least 180,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 130000
- If there are at least 130000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 125000
- If there are at least 125000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 135000
- If there are at least 135000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 185,000
- If there are at least 185,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 195,000
- If there are at least 195,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 200,000
- If there are at least 200,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 205,000
- If there are at least 205,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 210,000
- If there are at least 210,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 215,000
- If there are at least 215,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 225,000
- If there are at least 225,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 220,000
- If there are at least 220,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.