KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 410 million barrels · —
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Stored price
Above 414 million barrels 49.5%Market line of 13 lines
Above 414 million barrels 49.5%Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2K
Open interest
$1.1K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 410 million barrelsSpread
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Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 21, 26, 2:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 410 million barrels
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KalshiRules
If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 414 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- The Underlying is the U.S. Commercial Crude Oil (Excl. Lease Stock) inventory level reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the week ending Oct 16, 2026. This measure excludes crude oil held in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). EIA reports the statistic in thousand barrels. Values stated in millions of barrels will be converted directly from the EIA-reported value. The market will use the first EIA publication for the specified week. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 410 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 410 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 412 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 412 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 411 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 411 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 413 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 413 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 414 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 414 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 415 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 415 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 416 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 416 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 417 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 417 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 418 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 418 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 419 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 419 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 420 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 420 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 421 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 421 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 422 million barrels
- If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 422 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.