Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
5.5 pts (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
280M 79%+5.5ptLeader of 5 outcomes
280M 79%+5.5ptMarket quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$420
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+9.5 pts
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 22, 26, 4:26 PM UTCNov 12, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiBrent crude oil price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiBrent crude oil price on October 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value after market creation for any week ending on or before October 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before October 30, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
- If data has not been released for the final week ending on October 30, 2026, by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels.
