KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 5.0 million barrels/day · —
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Stored price
Above 4.0 million barrels/day 63.5%Market line of 5 lines
Above 4.0 million barrels/day 63.5%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.1K
Open interest
$552.7
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 5.0 million barrels/daySpread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 6:00 PM UTCJan 29, 27, 5:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 5.0 million barrels/day
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 4.0 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Exports of Crude Oil” series (MCREXUS2) for November 2026. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels per day, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels per day. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 5.0 million barrels/day
- If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 5.0 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.0 million barrels/day
- If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 4.0 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.0 million barrels/day
- If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 6.0 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.5 million barrels/day
- If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 5.5 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.5 million barrels/day
- If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 4.5 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.