KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before 2027 9%-5.0pt
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$586.1
Liquidity
$42.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 6.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
May 18, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Crude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketWill US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?
PolymarketWill Oklahoma crude oil production rise YoY?
KalshiWill North Dakota crude oil production rise YoY?
KalshiSaudi crude oil production in September
KalshiWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of crude oil that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of crude oil that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $96.99+42.0pt99%
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $503.1K
- 24h Vol
- $433.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 more outcomes
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $115.6K
- 24h Vol
- $115.6K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- $97.00 to $97.99+3.0pt17%
- $96.00 to $96.99+10.0pt17%
- $98.00 to $98.99+2.0pt15%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Brent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Diesel prices in Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US ban crude oil exports??
- Kalshi prices Before 2027 at 9% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will the US ban crude oil exports? resolve?
- Will the US ban crude oil exports? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the US ban crude oil exports? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of crude oil that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.