KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
The Democrats · —
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Stored price
The Democrats 34%Leader of 14 outcomes
The Democrats 34%Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$23.9K
Open interest
$13.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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The DemocratsSpread
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Market data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Oct 13, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 27, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · The Democrats
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If The Democrats finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Central Elections Committee
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. Rank is based on Knesset seats, not national vote share, using the Central Elections Committee's final certified result rather than preliminary counts. A party or list awarded no seats cannot place 4th. Lists with equal seat totals share the places they jointly occupy. For example, if two lists tie for the 3rd-most seats, both are tied for 3rd and 4th place; if two lists tie for the most seats, the list with the next-most seats finishes 3rd. Joint candidate lists count as single entities. Their seats are not credited separately to constituent parties. A newly formed joint list is a separate entity; a name change alone does not change a party or list's identity. Seats of separate lists are not combined for surplus-vote agreements or post-election coalitions. If no listed party or list finishes or ties for 4th place, every market on this event resolves NO. In case of an exact tie for 4th place among multiple parties as certified by the election authority, the markets shall resolve to $1/(number of tied entities) rounded down. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
Rules for each outcome
- The Democrats
- If The Democrats finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shas
- If Shas finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Together
- If Together finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yisrael Beiteinu
- If Yisrael Beiteinu finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otzma Yehudit
- If Otzma Yehudit finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)
- If Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- United Torah Judaism
- If United Torah Judaism finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Blue and White
- If Blue and White finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ra'am
- If Ra'am finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Religious Zionist Party–Zehut
- If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yashar
- If Yashar finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reservists–New Economic Party
- If Reservists–New Economic Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Likud
- If Likud finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People of Israel
- If People of Israel finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.