Fed decision in Sep 2027?

4.0% (24h)FedOne-Off1y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Fed maintains rate 39%-4.0%

Leader of 5 outcomes

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$150.6

Liquidity

$781.3

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

43.0% / 47.0%

Spread

9.3%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 21 minutes ago

Oct 6, 25, 2:00 PMSep 15, 27, 5:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Fed maintains rate39%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive.
Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume trend

$151

Jul 33d of dataJul 21

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$66,542.95+1.68%

EthereumETH$1,926.06+1.48%

SolanaSOL$78.17+0.52%

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Fed decision in Sep 2027?

4.0% (24h)FedOne-Off1y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Fed maintains rate 39%-4.0%

Leader of 5 outcomes

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$150.6

Liquidity

$781.3

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

43.0% / 47.0%

Spread

9.3%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 21 minutes ago

Oct 6, 25, 2:00 PMSep 15, 27, 5:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Fed maintains rate39%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive.
Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume trend

$151

Jul 33d of dataJul 21

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$66,542.95+1.68%

EthereumETH$1,926.06+1.48%

SolanaSOL$78.17+0.52%

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