KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below 7.60 · —
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Stored price
Below 7.25 43.5%Market line of 4 lines
Below 7.25 43.5%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$956.3
Open interest
$17.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Below 7.60Spread
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Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 13, 24, 3:00 AM UTCDec 26, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Below 7.60
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Conditional on Trump getting elected, how will the US democracy index have changed by the end of his term.
Manifold MarketsWill the US be a democracy in 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the US be a democracy in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the US be a democracy in 2040?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiWho will control the House?
KalshiRules
If the United States falls below 7.25 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Economist
Rules for each outcome
- Below 7.60
- If the United States falls below 7.60 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 7.50
- If the United States falls below 7.50 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 7.00
- If the United States falls below 7.00 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 7.25
- If the United States falls below 7.25 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.
