KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityCut more than 25bps 1%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$151
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 6.0%
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 9:00 PMSep 10, 26, 12:14 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Cut more than 25bps1%
Compare venues· Cut more than 25bps
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall64% match · auto | High | 80% | — | $862.7 | $37K | 21 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 1% | — | $0 | $151 | 21 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
0.5%1mo
+0.5%80%
+1.0%12%
-0.1%3%
+2 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$141.6K
24h Vol$862.7
POLYMARKETRules
If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$150Jul 233d of dataJul 25
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If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).