PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo change 76%+4.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$700
Liquidity
$22.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
75.0% / 77.0%
Spread
2.7%
Tight spread7d Change
-12.5%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jun 17, 26, 11:32 PMSep 18, 26, 3:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
No change76%
Volume trend
$700Jul 324d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).