PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 25 bps increase
Resolved: Sep 18, 2026, 5:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
25 bps increase
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
100%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 18, 2026, 11:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
No change0%
50+ bps increase0%
50+ bps decrease0%
25 bps increaseWon
50+ bps decreaseLost
25 bps decreaseLost
No changeLost
50+ bps increaseLost
Rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
