Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
AIOne-OffEntertainmentMusic2mo
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 75%
No 75%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which of these artists will chart Billboard 100 first
Manifold Markets#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
Kalshi#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
KalshiTop 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
Kalshi#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
KalshiBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of November 7
PolymarketRules
This market predicts whether a song whose primary creative authorship (composition and/or performance) is artificial intelligence will chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before January 1, 2027.
- If, at any time before this date, a song that is publicly identified by Billboard, its label, or its credited artist as being primarily AI-generated (either composed by AI or performed by an AI-generated vocal model) appears in positions 1 through 20 of the weekly Billboard Hot 100 chart, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Source is the official Billboard Hot 100 chart.
- Songs in which AI is used solely as a production tool or to write the lyrics do not count.
- Songs that prominently use AI-generated vocals trained on a human artist's voice count as AI-created if Billboard or the credited artist identifies them as such.