FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Yes 92%
Yes 92%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$813.1
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This event predicts whether John Swinney will remain in office as First Minister of Scotland through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Scottish Government announcements confirming the First Minister.
- If John Swinney officially remains First Minister through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If he resigns, is removed, or is replaced before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official announcement.
- Temporary leaves of absence will not affect resolution as long as he officially retains the position.