FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 92%
No 92%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$388.7
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This event predicts whether Scotland will formally become an independent state separate from the United Kingdom at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official UK and Scottish government acts or international recognition confirming independence.
- If Scotland formally becomes an independent state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Referendums, negotiations, or legislative steps that do not result in formal independence taking effect will not count.
- If official documentation is ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.