How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?
EuropeOne-Off2moFutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Between 23 and 27 (inclusive) 38.4%Leader of 5 outcomes
Between 23 and 27 (inclusive) 38.4%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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$14.6K
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PolymarketRules
This event predicts the total number of European Union (EU) accession negotiating chapters that Montenegro will have provisionally closed by December 31, 2026 23:59:59 UTC.
- Montenegro's accession negotiations cover 33 chapters under the EU acquis.
- Each market below corresponds to one count range; exactly one will resolve "Yes".
- The Primary Designated Source is the European Commission's Directorate-General for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations (DG NEAR) — specifically the official Montenegro accession status page and the EU Council's reports on Montenegro's accession.
- Chapters that are temporarily closed, re-opened, or under interim benchmarks do not count as closed.
- Chapters 34 (Institutions) and 35 (Other Issues) do not count for the purposes of this event.