Will Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.4% in September 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.4% in September 2026??

ForecastEx prices Yes at 60% as of October 6, 2026.

When does Will Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.4% in September 2026? resolve?

Will Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.4% in September 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 9, 2026.

How is Will Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.4% in September 2026? settled?

ForecastEx settles this market as follows: Canada Unemployment Rate September 2026.

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KALSHI

CPI core in September

• Above 0.0%93%
• Above 0.1%-3.0pt78%
• Above 0.2%+4.0pt39%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

$301.5K

24h Vol

$85K

KALSHI

CPI in September

• Above 0.2%99%
• Above 0.1%99%
• Above -0.4%99%

+11 more outcomes

Total Vol

$587K

24h Vol

$41.6K

KALSHI

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

• Above -25,00091%
• Above 0+5.0pt88%
• Above 20,000-6.0pt87%

+10 more outcomes

Total Vol

$67.8K

KALSHI

Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

• Above 2.1%99%
• Above 2.2%97%
• Above 2.3%-2.0pt82%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$195.8K

24h Vol

KALSHI

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

• Above 3.2%+1.0pt99%
• Above 3.0%99%
• Above 3.1%99%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$915.5K

24h Vol

$21.5K

KALSHI

Unemployment in October

• Above 3.7%99%
• Above 3.8%98%
• Above 3.9%+1.0pt96%

+11 more outcomes

Total Vol

$77.7K

24h Vol

$12.1K

• US recession by end of 2026?
• CPI in December
• CPI core in December 2026
• Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
• Recession in 2027?
• Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
• Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
• CPI core in November 2026
• Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
• How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
• State of the economy at the end of 2026
• Recession this year?