Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.6%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 49 minutos
Retrasado23 dic 25, 0:16 UTC31 dic 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the United States conducts the first qualifying military attack against a NATO member state (as defined below) before the Russian Federation conducts the first qualifying military attack against a NATO member state, at any time after this market is created and before the N/A date.
- How it resolves
- YES: The first qualifying attack on any NATO member state is attributable to the United States, and it occurs before any qualifying Russian attack.
- NO: The first qualifying attack on any NATO member state is attributable to the Russian Federation, and it occurs before any qualifying U.S. attack.
- N/A (in 2050): Resolves N/A on 2050-12-31 23:59 UTC if neither the United States nor the Russian Federation has carried out a qualifying military attack against any NATO member state by that time.
- Key definitions (for resolution)