Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 56.3%
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40
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado25 nov 23, 23:48 UTC31 dic 33, 22:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Russia attack a NATO member in 2026?
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FutuurNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketReglas
The German Council on Foreign Relations (German: Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, DGAP) is a prominent Germany foreign policy research institute and they are concerned about a russian attack:
- With its imperial ambitions, Russia represents the greatest and most urgent threat to NATO countries.
- Once intensive fighting will have ended in Ukraine, the regime in Moscow may need as little as six to ten years to reconstitute its armed forces. -DGAP
- While it isn't clear when "intensive fighting will have ended in Ukraine", let's try with roughly a 10 year period from now.
- Resolves YES when Russia intentionally attacks a NATO member.
- Accidents like a misfired missiles are not sufficient.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia attack NATO before 2034??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 56% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia attack NATO before 2034??
- Está previsto que Will Russia attack NATO before 2034? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2033.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia attack NATO before 2034??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The German Council on Foreign Relations (German: Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, DGAP) is a prominent Germany foreign policy research institute and they are concerned about a russian attack: