Where will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]
PolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineLatin AmericaMiddle EastGeopolíticaIA3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualIran 100%Líder entre 40 opciones
Pronosticadores
265
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
6 ene 26, 11:14 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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###Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any place where the US conducts military strikes, airstrikes, drone strikes, or armed military operations during 2026.
- Resolution is based on official US government statements, credible news reporting from major outlets, or documented military action.
- The US has already conducted a large-scale strike on Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro, so Venezuela would resolve YES if it is attacked again.
- For an answer to resolve YES, there must be documented evidence of kinetic military action (strikes, raids, or armed operations) rather than non-military interventions, sanctions, or covert operations alone.
- Multiple countries can resolve YES simultaneously.
