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When or where will Trump die?
9a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCAlertas
Sigue este mercado para crear alertas.
Contexto del pronóstico
Pronóstico comunitario actual
2025 0%
Pronosticadores
141
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
DesactualizadoÚltima actualización: 13 abr, 11:46
Resuelve
1 ene 2036, 22:59
MetodologÃa
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-
Comenzó 4 ene 2025, 15:15Termina 1 ene 2036, 22:59
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old. He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history. According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources. If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- Trump's death cannot be verified by multiple reputable sources
- The exact date of death cannot be determined
- The death occurs under disputed circumstances where the date is unclear
Temas
PolÃticaIAGeopolÃtica
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