When, where or how will Trump die?
PolíticaOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsElecciónIAGeopolítica18a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
On Earth 99%Líder entre 87 opciones
Pronosticadores
343
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado4 ene 25, 15:15 UTC1 ene 45, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will Trump and Putin next meet?
KalshiWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump Die before 2027
Manifold MarketsWhen will Donald Trump die?
Manifold MarketsHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.
- He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
- According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
- If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if: