When, where or how will Trump die?
PolíticaOne-OffSalud y medicinaPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónIAGeopolítica18a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
On Earth 99%Líder entre 88 opciones
On Earth 99%Pronosticadores
346
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado4 ene 25, 15:15 UTC1 ene 45, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsIn which year will Donald Trump die?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.
- He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
- According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
- If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if: