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  3. Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

RegulaciónIATecnologíaPolíticaGeopolítica3a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization" 78.6%
Líder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores

12

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 6 horas

Desactualizado
9 dic 24, 19:391 ene 30, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"79%

Reglas

Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.

Manifold Markets
  • That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
  • If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
  • If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
  • The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
  • Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.

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Reglas

Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.

Manifold Markets
  • That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
  • If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
  • If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
  • The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
  • Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.