PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Unverified resolution data: No (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 2, 2026, 3:58 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
NoAwaiting result
YesAwaiting result
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market shall resolve to Yes if, subsequent to the launch of this market and by the End Date listed below, the Federal Government is in what is described by media sources, determined by PredictIt to be reliable, as a full or partial government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 10/01/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 10/01/2026 11:59 PM (ET)