PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
No 90.1%
No 90.1%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$798.1
Low liquidityOpen interest
$6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
2
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 8:38 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a social network be blocked in Brazil in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the social network 2 release by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich social network will surpass Facebook's monthly active users first?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release GPT-7?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
- Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
- A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.