Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleNov 8, 22, 12:00 AMNov 15, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
Speculation that Donald Trump will announce he is running for President of the United States received a heavy boost when he stated in a rally on November 7, 2022: "I'm going to be making a very big announcement on Tuesday, Nov. 15 at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida."
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald John Trump announces that he is running for president of the United States of America by November 15, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Donald Trump will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether he actually files to run for president in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
