PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 9%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 13.0%
Spread
225.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-2.0%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes9%
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Pope convokes any ecumenical council between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only ecumenical councils will qualify.
- Plenary or provincial councils will not be considered.
- This market will resolve according to announcements from the Pope, Vatican officials, or a consensus of credible reporting.
- Any official announcement will qualify, regardless of if or when the council actually occurs.