VA-4 Special Election: McClellan (D) vs. Benjamin (R)
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: McClellan
Resolved: Feb 22, 2023, 4:17 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
McClellan 100%
Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
0.0% / 100.0%
Spread
100.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleJan 11, 23, 9:21 PMFeb 21, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
McClellan100%
Benjamin0%
100%
0%
Rules
Following the death of representative elect Don McEachin (D) weeks after his election, a special election was scheduled for February 21, 2023 to fill his vacant seat.
- The election for Virginia's 4th district seat will take place between Jennifer McClellan, a Democrat, and Leon Benjamin, a Republican.
- This market will resolve to "McClellan" if Jennifer McClellan wins this special election.
- This market will resolve to "Benjamin" if Leon Benjamin wins this special election.
- If this election does not take place by June 30, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Determination of the winner of this House election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the election results.
